Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 20:30
16.7014.1%
X4.2522.2%
21.4863.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LDWLWDLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Porto
WDDWWWWWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
0.60
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
0.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.00
8.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
0.60
1.50
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.60goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Matchup

Porto attack

1.40goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.00
8.90
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
31.80
Match total
31.30

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.30
On target
5.00
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.1%12.0%-2.1 pp
Draw22.2%20.0%-2.2 pp
Away63.7%68.0%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.642.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.0%
0-312.0%
1-212.0%
0-212.0%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.125.48
Average total8.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.0%
Over 9.532.0%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away70.6%