Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 15:30
11.6457.4%
X3.8824.3%
25.1218.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
WLDLDLLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Tondela
LLLLLDWWDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.10
0.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.20
Against
5.80
11.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.90goals per match
Tondela conceded2.00
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.30goals per match
Farense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.80
11.90
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
31.40
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%60.4%+3.0 pp
Draw24.3%19.8%-4.4 pp
Away18.4%19.8%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.821.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
2-012.6%
1-19.9%
2-18.1%
3-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.32
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.539.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Draw FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Away FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away37.5%