Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 20:15
12.4239.0%
X3.1529.9%
23.0331.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LWWLDWLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Famalicao
LWLLWLWDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
4.60
10.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.70goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.30
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.40goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.60
10.40
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
5.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

18.00N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
31.60
Match total
31.50

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.20
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%39.3%+0.4 pp
Draw29.9%30.8%+0.9 pp
Away31.1%29.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.221.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-012.1%
0-111.8%
0-010.5%
2-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.66
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.9%18.7%–34.7% CI
Draw FT41.1%32.4%–50.3% CI
Away FT33.0%25.0%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away50.9%