Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-11 · 20:30
11.2973.4%
X5.3617.7%
210.628.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WDWWWWWDDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Boavista
DDLWDLLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.80
Against
7.30
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.60goals per match
Boavista conceded1.60
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.30
9.40
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.80
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
34.40
Match total
31.30

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.00
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.4%89.3%+15.9 pp
Draw17.7%7.1%-10.5 pp
Away8.9%3.6%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS39.3%

Historical average

2.430.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-021.4%
1-014.3%
3-114.3%
4-010.7%
2-110.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.36
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away18.2%