Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-11 · 18:00
110.309.2%
X5.4917.3%
21.2973.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
WLLWLLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Benfica
DDLDDWWWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.00
1.70
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.80
Against
3.40
10.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded
0.50
2.70
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.00goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Nacional conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.40
10.50
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
29.90
Match total
28.00

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.00
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.2%20.8%+11.6 pp
Draw17.3%20.8%+3.6 pp
Away73.5%58.3%-15.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS29.2%

Historical average

0.581.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.7%
0-112.5%
1-112.5%
1-38.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.756.25
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.529.2%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away60.0%