Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-11 · 16:00
12.5437.2%
X2.9432.1%
23.0830.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
DWWWWWLLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Belenenses
DLLDDWDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.40
Against
6.10
9.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
1.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.10goals per match
Belenenses conceded0.90
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.60goals per match
Tondela conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.10
9.20
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
30.30
Match total
32.00

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%47.6%+10.4 pp
Draw32.1%25.6%-6.5 pp
Away30.7%26.8%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.512.2%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.230.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.9%
1-114.6%
2-114.6%
0-111.0%
2-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.854.00
Average total8.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.7%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.529.3%
Over 11.520.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI
Draw FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Away FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away54.5%