Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-10 · 20:15
11.3072.4%
X5.2917.8%
29.619.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWDWDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Farense
LLWDDLWLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.10
Against
5.50
9.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.80goals per match
Farense conceded1.10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.50
9.30
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
32.70
Match total
33.30

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%77.8%+5.4 pp
Draw17.8%13.0%-4.8 pp
Away9.8%9.3%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

2.410.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.5%
2-013.0%
3-19.3%
2-19.3%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.963.11
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.7%51.2%–88.2% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–16.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home89.5%
Away26.3%