Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-10 · 18:00
11.8949.9%
X3.5126.9%
24.0523.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portimonense
WWLWDWLWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Moreirense
LWWWLWLWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
8.90
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portimonense attack
1.60goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.10Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.90goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
8.90
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
29.20
Match total
29.50
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.40
On target
2.70
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches163
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%49.1%-0.8 pp
Draw26.9%28.8%+2.0 pp
Away23.3%22.1%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS48.5%
Historical average
1.46–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.3%
1-111.7%
0-011.7%
2-111.7%
1-29.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–3.62
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=163.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%27.6%–51.2% CI
Draw FT41.9%30.5%–54.3% CI
Away FT19.4%11.4%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals12.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.2%
Away37.1%