Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 15:00
12.1443.9%
X3.1929.5%
23.5426.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
WWWDWWWLLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Maritimo
WLWLLDWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.20
Against
4.30
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.40goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.00Matchup
Maritimo attack
0.90goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.30
8.60
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.50
Match total
35.20
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%38.9%-5.0 pp
Draw29.5%38.9%+9.5 pp
Away26.6%22.1%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.517.4%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.22–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.9%
0-015.3%
1-011.1%
2-010.0%
0-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.22
Average total9.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.534.7%
Over 11.526.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.5%18.9%–38.1% CI
Draw FT53.8%42.9%–64.3% CI
Away FT18.8%11.7%–28.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.7%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals8.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.3%
Away41.3%