Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 21:15
11.8251.7%
X3.5426.6%
24.3421.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DLLLWWLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Tondela
LLLLLLDWWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.10
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.00
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.10goals per match
Tondela conceded2.10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.20goals per match
Boavista conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
34.70
Match total
27.80

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%52.9%+1.2 pp
Draw26.6%29.4%+2.8 pp
Away21.7%17.6%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.540.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
2-112.5%
2-011.0%
1-111.0%
0-011.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.10
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%23.6%–49.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%28.8%–54.8% CI
Away FT23.5%14.0%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away37.3%