Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-06 · 20:30
12.1244.4%
X3.2529.0%
23.5326.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
DWLDLDLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Guimaraes
DWDDLLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.90
Against
5.00
11.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.80goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.40
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.50goals per match
Farense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.00
11.80
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
32.20
Match total
27.90

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.60
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches255
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.4%40.0%-4.4 pp
Draw29.0%36.5%+7.5 pp
Away26.7%23.5%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

1.250.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
0-014.5%
1-012.2%
2-09.4%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.25
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=255.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%25.2%–42.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%40.7%–59.3% CI
Away FT16.7%10.8%–24.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away36.1%