Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-06 · 18:30
12.3640.0%
X3.3628.1%
22.9731.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWDDWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Porto
WWDDWWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.90
Against
3.60
9.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.60
2.00
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.50goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Matchup

Porto attack

1.70goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.60
9.60
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
4.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.70
Match total
30.90

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches298
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%40.6%+0.6 pp
Draw28.1%30.5%+2.4 pp
Away31.8%28.9%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.321.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-011.1%
2-110.4%
0-09.7%
0-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.89
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=298.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%21.4%–38.9% CI
Draw FT44.1%34.9%–53.8% CI
Away FT26.5%18.9%–35.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.1%
Away50.0%