Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-06 · 17:00
13.2329.2%
X2.5936.4%
22.7334.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Belenenses
LLWDDWLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Portimonense
LLDLDLLWWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Against
4.70
10.60
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Belenenses attack
1.00goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.50Matchup
Portimonense attack
1.10goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.70
10.60
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.10
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
28.90
Match total
29.80
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.60
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.2%18.2%-11.0 pp
Draw36.4%18.2%-18.2 pp
Away34.5%63.6%+29.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.59.1%
BTTS27.3%
Historical average
0.55–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-127.3%
0-227.3%
2-29.1%
0-09.1%
1-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.18–4.91
Average total9.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.518.2%
Over 10.518.2%
Over 11.518.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Remaining goals
0.95
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals5.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home21.1%
Away42.1%