Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-06 · 17:00
13.2329.2%
X2.5936.4%
22.7334.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
LLWDDWLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Portimonense
LLDLDLLWWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Against
4.70
10.60
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

1.00goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.50
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.10goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.70
10.60
Match total
7.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.10
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
28.90
Match total
29.80

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.60
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.2%18.2%-11.0 pp
Draw36.4%18.2%-18.2 pp
Away34.5%63.6%+29.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.59.1%
BTTS27.3%

Historical average

0.551.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-127.3%
0-227.3%
2-29.1%
0-09.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.184.91
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.518.2%
Over 10.518.2%
Over 11.518.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals5.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.1%
Away42.1%