Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-06 · 15:00
12.2741.5%
X3.3428.2%
23.1130.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WDDLDDDDLD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Nacional
LDDWLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
8.50
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.30goals per match
Nacional conceded1.90
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.70goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
8.50
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
18.40N=10
30.20
Match total
35.60

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches345
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%41.7%+0.2 pp
Draw28.2%27.8%-0.4 pp
Away30.3%30.4%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.341.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-111.0%
1-011.0%
0-19.0%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.64
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=345.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches121
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.1%25.3%–41.8% CI
Draw FT39.7%31.4%–48.6% CI
Away FT27.3%20.1%–35.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away47.1%