Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-05 · 21:15
15.0018.9%
X3.4827.1%
21.7554.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
WLDWLWDLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWWWDWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
0.30
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.10
Against
3.40
8.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
0.30
1.60
Total goals
1.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.30
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.40goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.40
8.60
Match total
8.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
31.70
Match total
31.80

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.90
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%43.5%+24.6 pp
Draw27.1%21.7%-5.4 pp
Away54.0%34.8%-19.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.517.4%
BTTS39.1%

Historical average

1.041.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.7%
0-013.0%
0-213.0%
1-18.7%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.436.09
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.543.5%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.539.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away30.0%