Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 20:30
11.2873.6%
X5.2917.8%
210.928.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWDWWWWWDD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Nacional
LLDDWLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
9.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Nacional conceded1.90
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.70goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
9.20
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
34.80
Match total
34.80

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.6%92.9%+19.3 pp
Draw17.8%0.0%-17.8 pp
Away8.6%7.1%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

2.500.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.4%
4-021.4%
3-121.4%
2-014.3%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.072.71
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.3%
Away30.8%