Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-30 · 19:00
19.649.8%
X5.5217.1%
21.2973.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
LDWWWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Benfica
WDDLDDWWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
0.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.00
Against
3.50
9.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
1.90
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.10goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Tondela conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.50
9.00
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
31.60
Match total
28.20

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.80
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.8%15.4%+5.6 pp
Draw17.1%23.1%+6.0 pp
Away73.1%61.5%-11.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

0.962.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-415.4%
1-111.5%
1-47.7%
0-37.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.466.77
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away71.4%