Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-30 · 17:00
11.9747.9%
X3.2828.8%
24.0623.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WLWWLDWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Moreirense
DLWWWLWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.10
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.60goals per match
Moreirense conceded0.90
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
5.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

18.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
32.90
Match total
29.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.80
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches276
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%46.4%-1.6 pp
Draw28.8%28.3%-0.5 pp
Away23.3%25.4%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.521.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-111.6%
1-010.1%
0-08.3%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.07
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=276.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%27.1%–46.8% CI
Draw FT39.8%30.2%–50.2% CI
Away FT23.9%16.2%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away44.3%