Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-30 · 17:00
11.9747.9%
X3.2828.8%
24.0623.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
WLWWLDWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Moreirense
DLWWWLWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.10
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.60goals per matchMoreirense conceded0.90Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.90goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
32.90
Match total
29.90
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.80
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches276
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%46.4%-1.6 pp
Draw28.8%28.3%-0.5 pp
Away23.3%25.4%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
1.52–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
2-111.6%
1-010.1%
0-08.3%
2-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.77–4.07
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=276.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%27.1%–46.8% CI
Draw FT39.8%30.2%–50.2% CI
Away FT23.9%16.2%–33.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.4%
Away44.3%