Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-30 · 15:00
12.2541.8%
X3.1030.4%
23.3927.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
DWWWDWWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Belenenses
LDLLDDWDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
1.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

1.40goals per match
Belenenses conceded0.90
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.60goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
8.60
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.50
Match total
5.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
26.40
Match total
31.70

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches218
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%39.9%-1.9 pp
Draw30.4%34.9%+4.5 pp
Away27.8%25.2%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.514.2%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.240.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.4%
0-011.9%
2-010.6%
1-010.1%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.893.96
Average total8.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=218.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.536.2%
Over 10.526.6%
Over 11.519.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.8%21.5%–39.7% CI
Draw FT47.9%38.1%–57.9% CI
Away FT22.3%15.1%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away50.0%