Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-26 · 21:15
18.5511.0%
X4.7419.8%
21.3669.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DWDDLDDDDL
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Porto
WWWDDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.70
Against
3.00
7.10
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.70
3.00
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.30goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.00
7.10
Match total
8.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
30.60
Match total
30.30

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.10
On target
5.30
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.0%0.0%-11.0 pp
Draw19.8%38.1%+18.3 pp
Away69.2%61.9%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

0.622.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.0%
1-114.3%
0-414.3%
2-214.3%
1-49.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.195.57
Average total8.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.514.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away72.7%