Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-26 · 19:00
13.4227.5%
X3.3028.5%
22.1344.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
LWLLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Guimaraes
WDWDDLLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.60
Against
5.10
11.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.30
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Nacional conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.10
11.40
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.50
Match total
27.40

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.5%23.0%-4.5 pp
Draw28.5%26.4%-2.0 pp
Away44.1%50.6%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

0.961.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.1%
0-010.9%
1-210.9%
1-19.8%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.535.43
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.3%14.4%–35.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%28.6%–52.6% CI
Away FT36.7%25.6%–49.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away55.0%