Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-22 · 21:00
11.3470.0%
X4.9419.0%
28.5611.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Porto
WWWWDWDDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Guimaraes
WWDWDDLLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.90
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Porto attack
2.10goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.20Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.10goals per matchPorto conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.70
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
33.80
Match total
28.70
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.70
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%69.4%-0.6 pp
Draw19.0%27.8%+8.8 pp
Away11.0%2.8%-8.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
2.25–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-022.2%
1-013.9%
0-011.1%
3-18.3%
3-35.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.64–3.14
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.519.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away23.1%