Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-22 · 19:00
16.2315.0%
X4.1622.5%
21.5062.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
WDWWLWDWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Benfica
WWDDLDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.20
Against
3.10
7.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.50
2.10
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.60goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.70goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.10
7.90
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

18.10N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
30.30
Match total
28.70

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.0%7.0%-8.1 pp
Draw22.5%25.6%+3.1 pp
Away62.4%67.4%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

0.772.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.6%
1-114.0%
0-214.0%
0-37.0%
0-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.866.07
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%