Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-22 · 15:00
12.0246.4%
X3.4427.3%
23.5726.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
WLDWWWWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Nacional
LLLDDWLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.60
8.30
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.10goals per match
Nacional conceded1.80
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.60goals per match
Tondela conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.60
8.30
Match total
8.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.50N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
31.40
Match total
34.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%47.8%+1.3 pp
Draw27.3%27.2%-0.1 pp
Away26.3%25.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.420.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.9%
1-112.2%
0-111.7%
1-011.7%
2-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.13
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%27.1%–50.4% CI
Draw FT34.9%24.3%–47.2% CI
Away FT27.0%17.6%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away44.4%