Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 17:00
12.8433.1%
X3.0730.7%
22.6036.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Maritimo
LWDLLLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Rio Ave
DLLLDLWLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
5.60
8.30
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Maritimo attack
0.50goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.70Matchup
Rio Ave attack
0.80goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.60
8.30
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.40N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
35.90
Match total
31.20
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.40
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%34.6%+1.5 pp
Draw30.7%30.7%+0.1 pp
Away36.2%34.6%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS39.2%
Historical average
1.03–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.7%
0-113.1%
1-111.8%
1-011.8%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.22–4.36
Average total8.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.549.7%
Over 9.540.5%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.517.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.9%20.2%–41.7% CI
Draw FT47.8%36.3%–59.5% CI
Away FT22.4%14.1%–33.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.04
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals28.4%
3+ goals10.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away40.3%