Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 17:00
12.8433.1%
X3.0730.7%
22.6036.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
LWDLLLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Rio Ave
DLLLDLWLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
5.60
8.30
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.50goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.70
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.80goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.60
8.30
Match total
10.00
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
35.90
Match total
31.20

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.40
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%34.6%+1.5 pp
Draw30.7%30.7%+0.1 pp
Away36.2%34.6%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS39.2%

Historical average

1.031.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.7%
0-113.1%
1-111.8%
1-011.8%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.224.36
Average total8.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.7%
Over 9.540.5%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.517.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.9%20.2%–41.7% CI
Draw FT47.8%36.3%–59.5% CI
Away FT22.4%14.1%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals28.4%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away40.3%