Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 15:30
11.9249.1%
X3.2828.7%
24.2422.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
LLDLWLWWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Moreirense
LDLWWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.10
Against
6.30
9.20
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.50goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.10Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.00goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.30
9.20
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
32.30
Match total
30.30
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.80
On target
2.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.1%48.4%-0.7 pp
Draw28.7%33.2%+4.4 pp
Away22.2%18.5%-3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS47.3%
Historical average
1.46–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
1-114.1%
0-010.9%
2-110.3%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.32–4.16
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.524.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%25.8%–48.4% CI
Draw FT42.4%31.2%–54.4% CI
Away FT21.2%13.1%–32.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away40.9%