Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 20:00
12.4338.7%
X3.1430.0%
23.0131.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
WDWWWDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Farense
LLLLWDDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
8.00
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.60goals per matchFarense conceded1.30Matchup
Farense attack
0.60goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
8.00
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.10N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
28.50
Match total
36.20
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.40
On target
2.40
17%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%42.4%+3.7 pp
Draw30.0%29.5%-0.5 pp
Away31.3%28.1%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS46.9%
Historical average
1.16–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.4%
1-114.7%
0-011.2%
2-19.4%
0-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.91–4.46
Average total9.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.2%26.1%–45.6% CI
Draw FT38.6%29.1%–49.1% CI
Away FT26.1%18.1%–36.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away40.9%