Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 17:30
110.079.3%
X5.2118.0%
21.2972.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
WLWLLWLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Porto
WWWWDDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
2.00
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.50N=10
7.50
Against
3.00
12.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
2.00
Goals conceded
0.70
3.20
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Nacional conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
7.50
Corners against
3.00
12.90
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.30
Match total
30.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.10
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.3%5.0%-4.3 pp
Draw18.0%30.0%+12.0 pp
Away72.7%65.0%-7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS35.0%

Historical average

0.451.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.0%
0-115.0%
1-115.0%
0-315.0%
0-410.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.006.70
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away63.6%