Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 18:00
11.2276.9%
X5.9015.9%
213.137.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
LWWWDDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Gil Vicente
LDWLLWLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.70
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
1.60goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.50Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.30goals per matchBenfica conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.40N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
31.10
Match total
30.80
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.20
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.9%92.0%+15.1 pp
Draw15.9%4.0%-11.9 pp
Away7.1%4.0%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
2.28–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-124.0%
1-020.0%
2-016.0%
2-116.0%
4-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.00–3.40
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.544.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away36.4%