Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 15:30
12.2342.2%
X3.2329.2%
23.2928.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
LDWDDLDDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Tondela
LLLLLLLLDW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
6.70
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.10goals per matchTondela conceded2.30Matchup
Tondela attack
1.00goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
6.70
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
32.00
Match total
28.10
Shots
9.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.00
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches292
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%40.8%-1.5 pp
Draw29.2%34.2%+5.1 pp
Away28.6%25.0%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.30–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.5%
0-011.3%
1-011.0%
2-18.9%
2-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.40
Average total9.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=292.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.523.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.9%22.1%–39.2% CI
Draw FT48.6%39.3%–58.0% CI
Away FT21.5%14.8%–30.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals8.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.5%
Away42.1%