Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 15:30
12.2342.2%
X3.2329.2%
23.2928.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
LDWDDLDDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Tondela
LLLLLLLLDW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
6.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.10goals per match
Tondela conceded2.30
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.00goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
6.70
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
32.00
Match total
28.10

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.00
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches292
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%40.8%-1.5 pp
Draw29.2%34.2%+5.1 pp
Away28.6%25.0%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.301.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-011.3%
1-011.0%
2-18.9%
2-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.40
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=292.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.9%22.1%–39.2% CI
Draw FT48.6%39.3%–58.0% CI
Away FT21.5%14.8%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals8.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away42.1%