Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 15:30
12.2442.0%
X3.2029.4%
23.3028.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LWLWWLDWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Santa Clara
LWLDWDWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.80
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.50goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.30
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.10goals per match
Guimaraes conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

18.60N=10
Committed
19.00N=10
32.70
Match total
35.40

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%40.8%-1.3 pp
Draw29.4%37.2%+7.8 pp
Away28.5%22.0%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.210.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.1%
0-014.2%
1-013.1%
2-08.5%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.34
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%22.8%–38.7% CI
Draw FT49.2%40.6%–57.8% CI
Away FT20.6%14.5%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away40.5%