Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 15:30
12.2442.0%
X3.2029.4%
23.3028.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
LWLWWLDWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Santa Clara
LWLDWDWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.80
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.50goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.30Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.10goals per matchGuimaraes conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.60N=10
Committed
19.00N=10
32.70
Match total
35.40
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%40.8%-1.3 pp
Draw29.4%37.2%+7.8 pp
Away28.5%22.0%-6.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS46.1%
Historical average
1.21–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.1%
0-014.2%
1-013.1%
2-08.5%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–4.34
Average total9.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.521.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%22.8%–38.7% CI
Draw FT49.2%40.6%–57.8% CI
Away FT20.6%14.5%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.6%
Away40.5%