Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 21:00
15.7916.3%
X3.6625.8%
21.6357.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
WWDWLDLDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WDWWWWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
2.90
10.60
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Farense attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.80goals per match
Farense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.90
10.60
Match total
7.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
33.80
Match total
33.80

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.3%13.6%-2.7 pp
Draw25.8%18.2%-7.6 pp
Away57.9%68.2%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

0.861.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-122.7%
1-318.2%
0-09.1%
2-19.1%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.005.32
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away58.3%