Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 21:00
15.7916.3%
X3.6625.8%
21.6357.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Farense
WWDWLDLDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WDWWWWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
2.90
10.60
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Farense attack
1.20goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.50Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.80goals per matchFarense conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.90
10.60
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
33.80
Match total
33.80
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.3%13.6%-2.7 pp
Draw25.8%18.2%-7.6 pp
Away57.9%68.2%+10.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
0.86–1.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-122.7%
1-318.2%
0-09.1%
2-19.1%
1-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.00–5.32
Average total9.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.522.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away58.3%