Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 18:45
12.5536.9%
X3.0231.2%
22.9531.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Boavista
DLDLLLWWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
WLDWWWLLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.70
Against
5.40
10.80
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Boavista attack
1.00goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.30Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.00goals per matchBoavista conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.40
10.80
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
18.70N=10
35.20
Match total
36.50
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%29.9%-7.0 pp
Draw31.2%35.9%+4.8 pp
Away31.9%34.1%+2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.8%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.10–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.4%
0-112.0%
0-010.2%
1-09.6%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–4.01
Average total9.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.9%
Over 9.544.3%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.521.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%20.6%–43.8% CI
Draw FT46.6%34.3%–59.2% CI
Away FT22.4%13.6%–34.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals8.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.4%
Away43.1%