Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 20:00
11.4564.8%
X4.3121.8%
26.9813.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Famalicao
LLDLWLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
0.30
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.20
Against
4.70
9.00
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.80goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.20
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.70
9.00
Match total
8.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Match total
6.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
35.30
Match total
33.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.10
On target
4.10
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%57.1%-7.6 pp
Draw21.8%32.1%+10.4 pp
Away13.5%10.7%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.521.4%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.430.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-032.1%
1-125.0%
0-07.1%
2-07.1%
4-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.36
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%