Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 15:30
11.8251.6%
X3.3727.9%
24.5920.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
LLLDLWLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Nacional
DLLLDDWLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Against
5.60
9.60
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.10goals per matchNacional conceded1.30Matchup
Nacional attack
0.50goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.60
9.60
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
31.40
Match total
34.90
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.10
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%51.5%-0.2 pp
Draw27.9%28.2%+0.3 pp
Away20.5%20.4%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS43.7%
Historical average
1.39–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.6%
2-012.6%
2-111.7%
0-011.7%
1-110.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.11–3.87
Average total8.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.528.2%
Over 11.515.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT44.4%29.5%–60.4% CI
Away FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.8%
Away33.3%