Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 20:30
16.5514.4%
X4.1922.5%
21.4963.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
WWDWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Benfica
LWWDDLDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
3.40
7.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

1.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.20goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.40
7.70
Match total
9.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
4.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
30.50
Match total
31.10

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.90
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%11.5%-2.8 pp
Draw22.5%19.2%-3.2 pp
Away63.2%69.2%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

0.731.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-219.2%
1-215.4%
0-115.4%
0-37.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.385.81
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away76.9%