Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 18:00
17.8012.1%
X4.3521.6%
21.4266.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
WWLDWWWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Porto
LWWWWDDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
0.50
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.60
Against
3.40
8.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.20goals per match
Porto conceded1.00
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Tondela conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.40
8.70
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
30.20
Match total
30.20

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.90
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.1%0.0%-12.1 pp
Draw21.6%11.8%-9.9 pp
Away66.3%88.2%+21.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS41.2%

Historical average

0.592.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-223.5%
0-117.6%
0-211.8%
0-411.8%
2-311.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.765.06
Average total8.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.511.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away80.0%