Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 15:00
12.5936.4%
X2.9631.8%
22.9631.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Maritimo
DLWDLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Farense
DLLLLWDDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.50
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
7.40
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Maritimo attack
0.40goals per matchFarense conceded1.30Matchup
Farense attack
0.70goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
7.40
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.90N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
36.90
Match total
35.50
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
4%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%30.2%-6.2 pp
Draw31.8%35.6%+3.8 pp
Away31.8%34.2%+2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS53.0%
Historical average
1.10–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.3%
0-111.9%
0-010.4%
1-09.9%
1-29.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.80–4.14
Average total8.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.530.7%
Over 11.519.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.4%21.8%–43.0% CI
Draw FT45.7%34.6%–57.3% CI
Away FT22.9%14.6%–34.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.4%
Away41.4%