Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 21:00
17.2712.9%
X4.0023.4%
21.4763.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WLDWDDLDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWDWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
2.80
7.30
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
0.50
2.70
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.20goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.50Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.90goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.80
7.30
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
31.30
Match total
33.60
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
3.60
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.9%16.7%+3.8 pp
Draw23.4%25.0%+1.6 pp
Away63.7%58.3%-5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.75–1.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-133.3%
1-116.7%
0-08.3%
1-28.3%
3-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.42–5.33
Average total8.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.525.0%
Over 10.516.7%
Over 11.516.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home26.1%
Away65.2%