Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 19:00
11.1780.2%
X6.9213.6%
215.016.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WLWWWDDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Maritimo
LLLWLWLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.60
Against
4.80
9.70
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.70goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.30
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.10goals per match
Benfica conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.80
9.70
Match total
7.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Match total
6.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
29.80
Match total
34.20

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.2%85.3%+5.1 pp
Draw13.6%8.8%-4.7 pp
Away6.3%5.9%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS41.2%

Historical average

2.740.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.7%
1-014.7%
2-114.7%
5-25.9%
5-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.592.59
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.5%
Away43.8%