Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 19:00
11.1780.2%
X6.9213.6%
215.016.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WLWWWDDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Maritimo
LLLWLWLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.60
Against
4.80
9.70
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
1.70goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.30Matchup
Maritimo attack
1.10goals per matchBenfica conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.80
9.70
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
29.80
Match total
34.20
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.2%85.3%+5.1 pp
Draw13.6%8.8%-4.7 pp
Away6.3%5.9%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS41.2%
Historical average
2.74–0.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-014.7%
1-014.7%
2-114.7%
5-25.9%
5-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
7.59–2.59
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals31.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home87.5%
Away43.8%