Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 17:30
11.6556.9%
X3.6625.7%
25.3917.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LLWLWWLDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Tondela
LLLLLLLLLD
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
2.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.20
9.30
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
2.60
3.30
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.40goals per match
Tondela conceded2.60
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.80goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.20
9.30
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

18.50N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
33.60
Match total
29.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.20
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%52.8%-4.1 pp
Draw25.7%28.1%+2.4 pp
Away17.4%19.1%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.580.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.0%
1-112.4%
2-011.2%
0-010.1%
1-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.883.35
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.7%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.4%27.2%–59.2% CI
Draw FT42.4%27.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals51.5%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away36.4%