Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 20:30
11.2774.1%
X5.3817.5%
211.198.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWDWDDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Santa Clara
WLWLDWDWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.70
Against
5.20
9.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.00goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.20
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.20
9.30
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Match total
5.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
33.00
Match total
34.80

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.80
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.1%84.6%+10.5 pp
Draw17.5%0.0%-17.5 pp
Away8.4%15.4%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

2.230.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-123.1%
4-015.4%
1-015.4%
2-015.4%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.772.15
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%50.5%–89.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.5%
Away25.0%