Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-02 · 20:30
12.8732.7%
X3.1230.1%
22.5337.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nacional
DWLWLLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Portimonense
LLLLLDLDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
7.50
Against
4.90
12.60
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nacional attack
1.20goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.80Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.50goals per matchNacional conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
7.50
Corners against
4.90
12.60
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
30.10
Match total
31.30
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%29.1%-3.6 pp
Draw30.1%34.3%+4.2 pp
Away37.1%36.6%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS46.9%
Historical average
1.09–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
0-114.3%
0-012.6%
1-07.4%
1-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–4.75
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.2%13.1%–32.5% CI
Draw FT53.0%41.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT25.8%16.7%–37.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals10.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.4%
Away51.5%