Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 18:00
17.6412.3%
X4.2921.8%
21.4265.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
LLWDWWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Porto
DLWWWWDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.70
Against
3.60
8.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.30goals per match
Porto conceded1.10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.70
Corners against
3.60
8.30
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

18.90N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
32.40
Match total
31.60

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.20
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.3%5.6%-6.7 pp
Draw21.8%16.7%-5.2 pp
Away65.9%77.8%+11.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS27.8%

Historical average

0.501.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-138.9%
0-411.1%
2-311.1%
0-25.6%
0-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.836.22
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away90.9%