Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:30
11.8849.9%
X3.3328.2%
24.2921.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
WWWDWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Moreirense
DLLDLWWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.20
Against
6.10
7.10
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.80goals per matchMoreirense conceded0.90Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.80goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.10
7.10
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.50N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
31.50
Match total
32.70
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.50
On target
2.50
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%52.7%+2.7 pp
Draw28.2%29.5%+1.3 pp
Away21.9%17.9%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS41.1%
Historical average
1.40–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-019.6%
0-013.4%
2-010.7%
2-110.7%
2-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.22
Average total9.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.523.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%30.9%–58.8% CI
Draw FT40.0%27.0%–54.5% CI
Away FT15.6%7.7%–28.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals31.1%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away26.7%