Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-19 · 20:30
12.0845.3%
X3.1529.9%
23.8024.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DLWLDLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Nacional
LDLLLDDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.40
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.70goals per match
Nacional conceded1.30
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.60goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
28.90
Match total
34.10

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.20
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%45.0%-0.3 pp
Draw29.9%28.0%-1.9 pp
Away24.8%27.0%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.514.0%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.270.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-014.0%
0-011.0%
2-110.0%
1-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.05
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Draw FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Away FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.5%
Away33.3%