Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 17:30
12.0046.8%
X3.2229.1%
23.8924.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
WLLWLWWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLDWLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.30
Against
5.90
8.80
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.30goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.70Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.80goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.90
8.80
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.60N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
34.20
Match total
31.40
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.50
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%51.2%+4.3 pp
Draw29.1%27.1%-2.0 pp
Away24.1%21.8%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
1.45–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
1-112.9%
2-112.4%
0-09.4%
2-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–4.21
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%22.4%–47.8% CI
Draw FT44.0%31.2%–57.7% CI
Away FT22.0%12.8%–35.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away36.0%