Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 15:00
13.0031.3%
X3.0331.0%
22.4937.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DWLDWDDLDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Rio Ave
DWDLLLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.30
Against
5.20
6.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.40
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.60goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.20
6.90
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
31.50
Match total
30.20

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.00
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%38.2%+6.9 pp
Draw31.0%25.0%-6.0 pp
Away37.7%36.8%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.291.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.1%
1-111.8%
1-010.5%
1-27.9%
3-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.68
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away43.5%