Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 20:30
17.4812.6%
X4.3421.7%
21.4365.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
LWWLDWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWDWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
0.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
3.20
9.20
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.00goals per match
Tondela conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.20
9.20
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
29.90
Match total
34.20

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
4.10
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.6%0.0%-12.6 pp
Draw21.7%15.4%-6.3 pp
Away65.8%84.6%+18.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

0.692.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-223.1%
0-115.4%
0-415.4%
2-315.4%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.775.00
Average total8.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT68.4%46.0%–84.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.6%
Away78.9%