Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 18:00
11.3271.0%
X5.1318.3%
28.7210.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWLWWWDDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Boavista
DDLDDDLWDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.50
Against
6.10
8.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.80goals per match
Boavista conceded1.50
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.10goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
2.50
Corners against
6.10
8.60
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.50
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
30.30
Match total
32.40

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.20
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.0%70.6%-0.4 pp
Draw18.3%17.6%-0.6 pp
Away10.7%11.8%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

2.330.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.7%
2-111.8%
3-09.8%
2-05.9%
0-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.843.31
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away21.4%